Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.160435 0.181073 0.202811 0.227363 0.254267 0.282797 0.315286
2025-04-20 0.133999 0.161988 0.193069 0.229958 0.272356 0.319366 0.375230
2025-04-27 0.117033 0.150113 0.188536 0.236066 0.292863 0.358122 0.438315
2025-05-04 0.101470 0.137480 0.181063 0.237017 0.306210 0.388208 0.491895
2025-05-11 0.091199 0.129810 0.178285 0.242576 0.324466 0.424091 0.553128
2025-05-18 0.083002 0.123662 0.176454 0.248556 0.342844 0.460233 0.615490
2025-05-25 0.073313 0.114356 0.169456 0.246912 0.350819 0.483077 0.661500
2025-06-01 0.065602 0.106880 0.164067 0.246636 0.360019 0.507261 0.709465
2025-06-08 0.058784 0.099922 0.158670 0.245680 0.367822 0.529431 0.755049
2025-06-15 0.054716 0.096586 0.158004 0.251011 0.384078 0.562982 0.816262
2025-06-22 0.049667 0.091206 0.153859 0.250926 0.392509 0.585959 0.863692
2025-06-29 0.045038 0.086010 0.149520 0.250122 0.399616 0.607044 0.908827
2025-07-06 0.040702 0.080966 0.145167 0.249190 0.406702 0.628658 0.955879
2025-07-13 0.037732 0.077926 0.143687 0.252435 0.419892 0.659117 1.015934
2025-07-20 0.035773 0.076447 0.144560 0.259272 0.438566 0.697812 1.088465
2025-07-27 0.032912 0.073044 0.141989 0.260435 0.448567 0.724142 1.143954
2025-08-03 0.031193 0.071574 0.142517 0.266510 0.466198 0.761950 1.216697
2025-08-10 0.029682 0.070342 0.143328 0.273004 0.484598 0.801268 1.292427
2025-08-17 0.027002 0.066534 0.139344 0.271254 0.489835 0.820976 1.339804
2025-08-24 0.024793 0.063430 0.136368 0.270968 0.497267 0.844025 1.392459
2025-08-31 0.022686 0.060302 0.133100 0.269944 0.503347 0.865030 1.442379
2025-09-07 0.021632 0.059319 0.133735 0.275700 0.520624 0.903548 1.519266
2025-09-14 0.019946 0.056754 0.131172 0.275610 0.528127 0.926992 1.573728